# The RSI Clock: Minutes to Rogue Super Intelligence > The RSI Clock reads 29 minutes to rogue SI. One public number for how close the world is to rogue super intelligence, with a published formula. Source: https://enterrsi.si/clock/ Updated: 2026-11-08 1. [Home](https://enterrsi.si/) 2. RSI Clock The RSI Clock · reading of Nov 8, 2026 # The RSI Clock The RSI Clock is one public number for how close the world is to rogue super intelligence. On November 8, 2026 it reads **29 minutes to rogue SI**, from an RSI Index of 51.3 out of 100 built daily from five public inputs: rogue incidents, forecasts, the control gap, the headlines and public attention. Midnight means rogue SI. Clock set · **Nov 8, 2026** 29minutes to rogue SI RSI Index : 51.3/100 7 day average : 51.3 Reading : Nov 8, 2026 First reading of the RSI Index: 51.3 out of 100. The clock is set at 29 minutes to rogue SI. Behind the number ## Five public inputs Each input is turned into a score from 0 to 100 against a published baseline, then weighted. Higher means closer to rogue SI. Every input links to its source. 1. **Rogue incidents**Weight 30% · [Rogue Incident Database](https://enterrsi.si/incidents/) 8 incidents in the last 90 days, 3 at level 5, 4 at level 4, 1 at level 3, 84 points **52.5**of 100 2. **Forecasts**Weight 25% · [Manifold forecasts](https://manifold.markets/) "Will we get AGI before 2030?" 52%; "Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?" 39%; "Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100" 14% **50.3**of 100 3. **Control gap**Weight 20% · [The Control Map](https://enterrsi.si/control-map/) 12 measures in force, 5 passed, 20 voluntary, 8 dated steps due in 90 days: coverage 47 of 100 **53**of 100 4. **Mainstream Meter**Weight 15% · [Mainstream Meter, RSI Watch](https://enterrsi.si/watch/) 8% of 112 SI headlines in 7 days were about rogue SI risk **26.7**of 100 5. **Public attention**Weight 10% · [Wikipedia page views (Wikimedia API)](https://wikimedia.org/api/rest_v1/) 5,417 daily views on 6 articles (7 days to 2026-11-06) vs a 3,385 median: 1.60x normal **83.9**of 100 RSI Index · weighted sum**51.3 of 100** History ## Every reading, every move A new reading is taken every day. The clock itself moves rarely: only when the 7 day average shifts by 3 points or more, and every move is announced here with its reason. RSI Index by day [Nov 8, 2026 **29 min**](https://enterrsi.si/clock/2026-11-08/) ### Clock moves 1. Nov 8, 2026 First reading of the RSI Index: 51.3 out of 100. The clock is set at 29 minutes to rogue SI. **29 min** The formula ## Published in full Anyone can check a reading. The weights, baselines and the rule for moving the clock are fixed and public; if they ever change, the change is announced here first. ``` RSI Index = (sum of weight x input) / (sum of weights with a reading today) incidents 30% = 100 x min(1, points / 160), points = sum of 2^(level - 1) over cases in the last 90 days forecasts 25% = half timing (mean of P(AGI or SI by 2030) in %), half catastrophe (P(extinction by 2100) / 25%, capped at 100) policy 20% = 100 - coverage, coverage = 2 per measure in force + 1 per passed + 0.5 per voluntary + 1 per dated step due in 90 days (max 100) mainstream 15% = 100 x min(1, Mainstream Meter / 30%) attention 10% = 50 + 50 x log2(7 day average views / 365 day median), kept between 0 and 100 S = average RSI Index over the last 7 readings Minutes to rogue SI = 60 x (1 - S / 100), rounded to a whole minute The clock moves only when S is 3.0 or more away from its value at the last move. ``` | Input | Weight | Reads 0 when | Reads 100 when | |---|---|---|---| | Rogue incidents | 30% | No incidents in 90 days | 160 points: about ten level 5 cases in 90 days | | Forecasts | 25% | Forecasters see no SI before 2030 and no catastrophe | Certain SI by 2030 and a 25% or higher chance of catastrophe | | Control gap | 20% | Coverage of 100: about 50 binding measures in force | No measures at all | | Mainstream Meter | 15% | No headlines about rogue SI | 30% of SI headlines, stage 5, Household | | Public attention | 10% | Views at a quarter of normal | Views at four times normal (50 is normal) | Forecast questions ### Where the forecasts come from - [Will we get AGI before 2030?](https://manifold.markets/RemNi/will-we-get-agi-before-2030) timing - [Conditional on no existential catastrophe, will there be a superintelligence by 2030?](https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/will-there-be-a-superintelligence-b-10fdd93e8092) timing - [Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2100](https://manifold.markets/jdilla/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th) catastrophe Metaculus questions 5121 (Date of Artificial General Intelligence) and 3479 (Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known) join the timing half once the site holds a Metaculus API key; the median date counts 100 minus 10 points per year away. Rules ### How readings work - One reading per day, taken after 00:10 UTC with the latest public data. - An input with no reading that day is left out and the others share its weight. - Wikipedia views run a day or two behind; the reading uses the last 7 full days available. - Every reading keeps its own dated page, so past numbers never change. - The clock is a public signal about SI risk, never a forecast of any price. Share it ## Embed the clock, cite the reading Put the live RSI Clock on any page with two lines of HTML. It shows the current minutes and links back here. Live preview Embed code ```
``` Cite this reading RSI Clock, November 8, 2026: 29 minutes to rogue SI (RSI Index 51.3 of 100). enterrsi.si. https://enterrsi.si/clock/2026-11-08/ Readings and the history are free to cite under CC BY 4.0. The full history is at enterrsi.si/clock/history.json. [History as JSON](https://enterrsi.si/clock/history.json) Enter RSI ## The evidence behind the minutes 59 rated incidents and 43 safety measures feed the clock every day. [Incident Database](https://enterrsi.si/incidents/) [Control Map](https://enterrsi.si/control-map/) [RSI Watch](https://enterrsi.si/watch/)