The RSI Clock · reading of Nov 8, 2026
The RSI Clock is one public number for how close the world is to rogue super intelligence. On November 8, 2026 it reads 29 minutes to rogue SI, from an RSI Index of 51.3 out of 100 built daily from five public inputs: rogue incidents, forecasts, the control gap, the headlines and public attention. Midnight means rogue SI.
Clock set · Nov 8, 2026
First reading of the RSI Index: 51.3 out of 100. The clock is set at 29 minutes to rogue SI.
Behind the number
Each input is turned into a score from 0 to 100 against a published baseline, then weighted. Higher means closer to rogue SI. Every input links to its source.
History
A new reading is taken every day. The clock itself moves rarely: only when the 7 day average shifts by 3 points or more, and every move is announced here with its reason.
RSI Index by day
First reading of the RSI Index: 51.3 out of 100. The clock is set at 29 minutes to rogue SI.
29 minThe formula
Anyone can check a reading. The weights, baselines and the rule for moving the clock are fixed and public; if they ever change, the change is announced here first.
RSI Index = (sum of weight x input) / (sum of weights with a reading today)
incidents 30% = 100 x min(1, points / 160), points = sum of 2^(level - 1) over cases in the last 90 days
forecasts 25% = half timing (mean of P(AGI or SI by 2030) in %), half catastrophe (P(extinction by 2100) / 25%, capped at 100)
policy 20% = 100 - coverage, coverage = 2 per measure in force + 1 per passed + 0.5 per voluntary + 1 per dated step due in 90 days (max 100)
mainstream 15% = 100 x min(1, Mainstream Meter / 30%)
attention 10% = 50 + 50 x log2(7 day average views / 365 day median), kept between 0 and 100
S = average RSI Index over the last 7 readings
Minutes to rogue SI = 60 x (1 - S / 100), rounded to a whole minute
The clock moves only when S is 3.0 or more away from its value at the last move.
| Input | Weight | Reads 0 when | Reads 100 when |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rogue incidents | 30% | No incidents in 90 days | 160 points: about ten level 5 cases in 90 days |
| Forecasts | 25% | Forecasters see no SI before 2030 and no catastrophe | Certain SI by 2030 and a 25% or higher chance of catastrophe |
| Control gap | 20% | Coverage of 100: about 50 binding measures in force | No measures at all |
| Mainstream Meter | 15% | No headlines about rogue SI | 30% of SI headlines, stage 5, Household |
| Public attention | 10% | Views at a quarter of normal | Views at four times normal (50 is normal) |
Forecast questions
Metaculus questions 5121 (Date of Artificial General Intelligence) and 3479 (Date Weakly General AI is Publicly Known) join the timing half once the site holds a Metaculus API key; the median date counts 100 minus 10 points per year away.
Rules
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Cite this reading
RSI Clock, November 8, 2026: 29 minutes to rogue SI (RSI Index 51.3 of 100). enterrsi.si. https://enterrsi.si/clock/2026-11-08/
Readings and the history are free to cite under CC BY 4.0. The full history is at enterrsi.si/clock/history.json.
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